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Qual 282023 Rainbow Rumble
Red102
22630.7
3354.9
872829.7
Blue96
283238.8
607851.2
432728.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1301328010012014016010296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#17
54.92.1
58.4→56.3
Auto16.3
Teleop28.5
End8.3
red by 3.6
6078
#13
51.22.4
49.1→46.6
Auto11.7
Teleop32.4
End6.2
Second
226
#29
30.72.1
35.7→33.6
Auto9.7
Teleop17.0
End5.0
blue by 8.1
2832
#18
38.82.4
42.0→39.6
Auto12.3
Teleop19.1
End7.2
Third
8728
#21
29.72.1
29.5→27.4
Auto10.6
Teleop11.0
End9.2
red by 1.6
4327
#25
28.22.4
31.5→29.1
Auto10.1
Teleop11.2
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
46%Sustainability oddsMissed36%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsMissed76%Activation oddsEarned