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Qual 362023 Rainbow Rumble
Red152
335759.1
721151.2
686123.9
Blue113
719740.3
317534.6
438152.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137135100120160152113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#4
59.11.6
56.9→58.5
Auto15.6
Teleop29.6
End12.1
red by 6.4
4381
#15
52.71.0
52.9→51.9
Auto15.7
Teleop27.8
End8.3
Second
7211
#5
51.21.6
48.3→50.0
Auto16.0
Teleop25.6
End8.2
red by 10.9
7197
#19
40.31.0
40.8→39.8
Auto10.2
Teleop19.9
End9.7
Third
6861
#20
23.91.6
22.5→24.1
Auto7.5
Teleop14.2
End3.4
blue by 10.7
3175
#24
34.61.0
33.8→32.9
Auto13.9
Teleop13.6
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsEarned77%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned