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Red138
30250.0
50341.7
6081B17.0
Blue158
546064.4
261135.5
3354.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106164050150200250138158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#16
50.01.0
51.252.3
Auto11.3
Teleop26.6
End10.4
blue by 14.4
64.40.3
59.960.2
Auto15.1
Teleop38.8
End8.5
Second
503
#6
41.71.0
38.940.0
Auto12.5
Teleop21.2
End8.8
blue by 13.2
33
#17
54.90.3
56.356.6
Auto16.3
Teleop28.5
End8.3
Third
17.01.0
15.316.4
Auto5.7
Teleop7.4
End4.8
blue by 18.5
2611
#12
35.50.3
35.936.2
Auto10.4
Teleop18.7
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
39%Sustainability oddsEarned93%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned