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Qual 42023 Rainbow Rumble
Red92
842414.2
317534.6
261135.5
Blue87
570411.3
3354.9
716626.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1201310501001502009287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2611
#12
35.52.8
42.7→39.9
Auto10.4
Teleop18.7
End6.4
blue by 19.4
33
#17
54.92.4
68.2→65.9
Auto16.3
Teleop28.5
End8.3
Second
3175
#24
34.62.8
48.0→45.2
Auto13.9
Teleop13.6
End7.5
red by 8.5
7166
#30
26.12.4
40.2→37.9
Auto6.0
Teleop15.4
End4.5
Third
8424
#32
14.22.8
23.3→20.5
Auto7.1
Teleop1.3
End6.1
red by 2.9
5704
#31
11.32.4
13.9→11.6
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
55%Sustainability oddsMissed42%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
94%Activation oddsMissed49%Activation oddsMissed