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Qual 52023 Rainbow Rumble
Red107
721151.2
432728.2
438152.7
Blue105
540654.4
7211B15.2
22630.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17411950100150200250107105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4381
#15
52.73.3
62.1→58.8
Auto15.7
Teleop27.8
End8.3
blue by 1.7
5406
#7
54.42.2
57.0→54.8
Auto15.4
Teleop31.0
End7.0
Second
7211
#5
51.23.3
60.0→56.7
Auto16.0
Teleop25.6
End8.2
red by 20.4
226
#29
30.72.2
43.5→41.3
Auto9.7
Teleop17.0
End5.0
Third
4327
#25
28.23.3
37.0→33.7
Auto10.1
Teleop11.2
End7.4
red by 13.0
7211B
#26
15.22.2
17.7→15.5
Auto7.9
Teleop5.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
94%Sustainability oddsMissed59%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned44%Activation oddsMissed