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Match 112023 Rainbow Rumble
Red203
5165.5
283442.8
546064.4
Blue181
608152.7
3354.9
103833.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18214250100200250203181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#2
65.50.6
64.3→64.9
Auto14.6
Teleop39.3
End10.0
red by 10.6
33
#17
54.90.4
54.9→55.4
Auto16.3
Teleop28.5
End8.3
Second
5460
#1
64.40.6
63.3→63.8
Auto15.1
Teleop38.8
End8.5
red by 11.7
6081
#3
52.70.4
52.7→53.2
Auto13.6
Teleop29.4
End9.2
Third
2834
#14
42.80.6
41.6→42.2
Auto13.9
Teleop20.9
End8.3
red by 8.9
1038
#23
33.80.4
33.9→34.3
Auto9.0
Teleop20.1
End5.1