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Red136
7211B15.2
365546.8
335759.1
Blue165
607851.2
81839.3
50341.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12913950100150200136165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.10.1
59.059.1
Auto15.6
Teleop29.6
End12.1
red by 7.8
6078
#13
51.20.5
50.050.6
Auto11.7
Teleop32.4
End6.2
Second
3655
#11
46.80.1
46.846.8
Auto7.2
Teleop30.5
End7.3
red by 5.1
503
#6
41.70.5
40.541.0
Auto12.5
Teleop21.2
End8.8
Third
15.20.1
15.215.2
Auto7.9
Teleop5.7
End2.3
blue by 24.1
818
#27
39.30.5
38.138.7
Auto11.6
Teleop19.7
End6.9