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Red91
920922.7
722122.4
90429.5
Blue85
610123.1
564127.4
924122.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions756840506080901001101209185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#9
29.51.4
29.430.8
Auto11.9
Teleop10.2
End7.4
red by 2.1
5641
#17
27.41.0
26.027.0
Auto9.7
Teleop10.4
End7.4
Second
9209
#14
22.71.4
22.824.2
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End9.5
blue by 0.4
6101
#26
23.11.0
22.323.3
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End3.2
Third
7221
#18
22.41.4
17.519.0
Auto6.8
Teleop11.9
End3.7
blue by 0.1
9241
#13
22.51.0
16.717.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsEarned