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Red64
837422.7
356828.7
722525.3
Blue107
332235.6
889521.1
86249.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7310320406012014016018064107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3568
#35
28.70.6
26.726.1
Auto8.5
Teleop16.4
End3.7
blue by 20.4
862
#4
49.11.0
42.543.5
Auto9.9
Teleop30.0
End9.2
Second
7225
#29
25.30.6
27.226.6
Auto7.8
Teleop14.5
End3.0
blue by 10.2
35.61.0
32.433.4
Auto9.1
Teleop18.0
End8.5
Third
8374
#11
22.70.6
18.718.1
Auto6.7
Teleop9.8
End6.1
red by 1.6
8895
#30
21.11.0
17.718.7
Auto8.5
Teleop5.9
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
15%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsEarned