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Red130
921114.7
505052.8
86249.1
Blue94
370726.9
655619.0
150429.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134715010015020013094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.80.3
53.353.5
Auto15.6
Teleop28.9
End8.1
red by 23.2
1504
#16
29.60.4
29.229.7
Auto8.3
Teleop12.6
End8.6
Second
862
#4
49.10.3
49.649.8
Auto9.9
Teleop30.0
End9.2
red by 22.2
3707
#27
26.90.4
26.627.0
Auto5.1
Teleop15.7
End6.1
Third
9211
#32
14.70.3
15.115.4
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End4.2
blue by 4.4
6556
#15
19.00.4
18.719.2
Auto2.8
Teleop8.5
End7.7