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Red128
506730.9
506629.9
567429.2
Blue82
81530.1
90429.5
356828.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9495608010012014012882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.9
30.331.1
Auto10.0
Teleop13.3
End7.6
red by 0.9
815
#10
30.10.3
30.430.1
Auto10.3
Teleop13.7
End6.0
Second
5066
#24
29.90.9
29.230.1
Auto11.2
Teleop12.7
End5.9
red by 0.3
904
#9
29.50.3
29.829.5
Auto11.9
Teleop10.2
End7.4
Third
29.20.9
28.629.5
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End4.8
red by 0.5
3568
#35
28.70.3
29.028.7
Auto8.5
Teleop16.4
End3.7