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Red129
584323.8
362041.2
571242.3
Blue109
276744.9
600247.5
524714.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11111480100120140160180129109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.30.6
41.241.8
Auto10.4
Teleop22.5
End9.4
blue by 5.2
47.50.1
47.447.3
Auto15.3
Teleop24.0
End8.2
Second
41.20.5
40.240.8
Auto14.3
Teleop19.3
End7.7
blue by 3.7
44.90.1
44.844.7
Auto13.6
Teleop21.2
End10.1
Third
5843
#18
23.80.5
22.923.4
Auto8.7
Teleop9.6
End5.6
red by 9.3
5247
#37
14.60.1
14.514.4
Auto2.6
Teleop8.9
End3.0