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Red131
584323.8
362041.2
571242.3
Blue114
276744.9
600247.5
524714.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11311490100120130140150131114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.30.5
41.842.3
Auto10.4
Teleop22.5
End9.4
blue by 5.2
47.50.2
47.347.5
Auto15.3
Teleop24.0
End8.2
Second
41.20.4
40.841.2
Auto14.3
Teleop19.3
End7.7
blue by 3.7
44.90.2
44.744.9
Auto13.6
Teleop21.2
End10.1
Third
5843
#18
23.80.4
23.423.8
Auto8.7
Teleop9.6
End5.6
red by 9.3
5247
#37
14.60.2
14.414.6
Auto2.6
Teleop8.9
End3.0