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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91480204060801001201401608419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.90.4
37.337.8
Auto13.6
Teleop21.2
End10.1
red by 24.5
5927
#11
20.43.5
19.816.2
Auto6.2
Teleop10.2
End4.1
Second
2959
#28
21.50.4
21.521.9
Auto7.1
Teleop8.7
End5.7
red by 1.5
6588
#16
19.93.5
14.310.8
Auto4.3
Teleop9.2
End6.4
Third
3658
#29
20.00.4
21.221.7
Auto5.3
Teleop9.3
End5.4
red by 2.8
5982
#26
17.23.5
16.613.0
Auto6.6
Teleop6.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned34%Activation oddsMissed