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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7065204060801008974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.01.6
27.529.1
Auto13.3
Teleop16.0
End10.8
blue by 2.3
42.31.4
33.234.6
Auto10.4
Teleop22.5
End9.4
Second
30.52.7
23.225.9
Auto6.0
Teleop15.4
End9.0
red by 17.6
6642
#33
12.91.4
16.718.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End5.6
Third
9239
#30
15.71.6
14.315.9
Auto3.0
Teleop7.4
End5.4
red by 2.8
7210
#38
12.91.4
11.512.9
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsMissed