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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87744060801001206258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.92.0
37.835.8
Auto13.6
Teleop21.2
End10.1
red by 21.6
3875
#13
23.31.5
25.824.3
Auto6.7
Teleop11.9
End4.7
Second
30.52.0
25.923.9
Auto6.0
Teleop15.4
End9.0
red by 10.4
3658
#29
20.01.5
21.720.2
Auto5.3
Teleop9.3
End5.4
Third
1940
#12
18.32.0
16.014.0
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End6.2
blue by 0.1
3604
#25
18.41.5
24.022.5
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsMissed61%Activation oddsMissed