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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7641020601001201409840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.01.1
29.130.2
Auto13.3
Teleop16.0
End10.8
red by 21.3
5610
#14
18.70.4
14.314.0
Auto3.6
Teleop10.7
End4.4
Second
9208
#34
29.01.1
29.530.6
Auto8.8
Teleop15.7
End4.5
red by 11.8
5982
#26
17.20.4
13.012.7
Auto6.6
Teleop6.6
End4.0
Third
7814
#23
11.61.8
8.410.2
Auto1.5
Teleop6.8
End3.3
blue by 1.7
9228
#36
13.30.4
15.915.5
Auto3.6
Teleop4.5
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned44%Activation oddsMissed