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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9042020608010012014011655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.53.6
25.929.5
Auto15.3
Teleop24.0
End8.2
red by 26.0
2959
#28
21.50.5
21.922.4
Auto7.1
Teleop8.7
End5.7
Second
41.23.6
28.231.8
Auto14.3
Teleop19.3
End7.7
red by 21.3
6588
#16
19.90.5
10.811.3
Auto4.3
Teleop9.2
End6.4
Third
5462
#10
27.83.6
24.428.0
Auto9.7
Teleop12.2
End5.9
red by 14.9
7210
#38
12.90.5
12.913.4
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned18%Activation oddsMissed