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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66644050607080906883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.30.1
36.937.0
Auto10.4
Teleop22.5
End9.4
red by 1.1
41.22.0
32.734.6
Auto14.3
Teleop19.3
End7.7
Second
5927
#11
20.40.1
12.512.7
Auto6.2
Teleop10.2
End4.1
red by 3.2
5982
#26
17.22.0
14.016.0
Auto6.6
Teleop6.6
End4.0
Third
9228
#36
13.30.1
12.612.7
Auto3.6
Teleop4.5
End5.2
blue by 1.3
5247
#37
14.62.0
13.615.6
Auto2.6
Teleop8.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsMissed34%Activation oddsEarned