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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions766120401001201409360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.52.7
33.035.7
Auto15.3
Teleop24.0
End8.2
red by 16.9
4325
#15
30.50.1
26.226.3
Auto6.7
Teleop16.7
End7.2
Second
5182
#19
20.22.7
20.923.5
Auto2.8
Teleop12.1
End5.3
red by 0.2
3658
#29
20.00.1
21.421.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.3
End5.4
Third
5610
#14
18.72.7
15.117.8
Auto3.6
Teleop10.7
End4.4
red by 0.5
5227
#24
18.20.1
11.511.5
Auto7.7
Teleop6.3
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned34%Activation oddsMissed