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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60652040801004021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5535
#31
21.51.9
20.118.3
Auto7.7
Teleop9.2
End4.6
red by 1.6
6588
#16
19.94.4
18.313.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.2
End6.4
Second
5982
#26
17.21.9
17.515.6
Auto6.6
Teleop6.6
End4.0
blue by 1.2
3604
#25
18.44.4
25.421.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End5.1
Third
6642
#33
12.91.9
19.317.4
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End5.6
red by 5.2
7809
#39
7.84.4
17.112.6
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned44%Activation oddsMissed