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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8636020601001201408347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9208
#34
29.00.6
31.131.7
Auto8.8
Teleop15.7
End4.5
red by 10.8
5227
#24
18.20.1
11.511.7
Auto7.7
Teleop6.3
End4.2
Second
5843
#18
23.80.9
21.722.6
Auto8.7
Teleop9.6
End5.6
red by 9.3
5247
#37
14.60.2
15.615.8
Auto2.6
Teleop8.9
End3.0
Third
3604
#25
18.40.9
21.222.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End5.1
red by 5.5
7210
#38
12.90.2
13.013.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsEarned16%Activation oddsMissed