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Red95
553521.5
505617.1
423740.0
Blue100
387523.3
600247.5
9414.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708020406010012014095100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.01.9
33.735.5
Auto13.3
Teleop16.0
End10.8
blue by 7.5
47.52.7
35.738.3
Auto15.3
Teleop24.0
End8.2
Second
5535
#31
21.53.1
18.621.7
Auto7.7
Teleop9.2
End4.6
blue by 1.8
3875
#13
23.32.9
26.028.9
Auto6.7
Teleop11.9
End4.7
Third
5056
#17
17.12.9
14.817.7
Auto4.3
Teleop8.1
End4.7
red by 2.2
94
#35
14.92.7
12.415.1
Auto1.5
Teleop8.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsEarned