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Red104
7434.5
812621.9
571242.3
Blue62
561018.7
522718.2
345216.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83540204010012014016010462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.33.4
29.833.2
Auto10.4
Teleop22.5
End9.4
red by 23.6
5610
#14
18.71.6
20.218.6
Auto3.6
Teleop10.7
End4.4
Second
74
#9
34.53.4
25.328.6
Auto9.6
Teleop17.2
End7.7
red by 16.3
5227
#24
18.21.0
12.811.8
Auto7.7
Teleop6.3
End4.2
Third
8126
#20
21.93.4
18.722.0
Auto6.5
Teleop8.3
End7.1
red by 5.5
3452
#32
16.41.6
21.419.8
Auto2.5
Teleop6.0
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsEarned27%Activation oddsMissed