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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564802040801005154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3658
#29
20.00.4
20.420.0
Auto5.3
Teleop9.3
End5.4
blue by 0.4
5927
#11
20.40.6
19.319.9
Auto6.2
Teleop10.2
End4.1
Second
5056
#17
17.10.4
17.517.1
Auto4.3
Teleop8.1
End4.7
red by 0.8
3452
#32
16.40.6
15.816.4
Auto2.5
Teleop6.0
End7.9
Third
6642
#33
12.90.4
13.312.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End5.6
red by 1.3
7814
#23
11.60.6
11.011.6
Auto1.5
Teleop6.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsMissed30%Activation oddsMissed