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Red41
511015.0
524714.6
920829.0
Blue111
600247.5
295921.5
598017.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions609020408010012014041111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9208
#34
29.01.3
29.728.5
Auto8.8
Teleop15.7
End4.5
blue by 18.5
47.51.4
43.845.2
Auto15.3
Teleop24.0
End8.2
Second
5110
#22
15.01.4
16.415.0
Auto2.6
Teleop6.7
End5.7
blue by 6.5
2959
#28
21.51.4
20.121.5
Auto7.1
Teleop8.7
End5.7
Third
5247
#37
14.61.4
13.712.3
Auto2.6
Teleop8.9
End3.0
blue by 3.1
5980
#27
17.71.4
16.317.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
16%Activation oddsMissed49%Activation oddsEarned