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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95500204060801201409545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.31.0
38.939.9
Auto10.4
Teleop22.5
End9.4
red by 18.5
5843
#18
23.80.9
22.621.6
Auto8.7
Teleop9.6
End5.6
Second
5462
#10
27.81.0
26.727.6
Auto9.7
Teleop12.2
End5.9
red by 7.6
5182
#19
20.20.9
21.120.2
Auto2.8
Teleop12.1
End5.3
Third
5623
#21
18.40.9
17.518.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End4.7
red by 10.6
7809
#39
7.80.9
8.77.8
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsEarned15%Activation oddsMissed