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Red78
515236.9
423740.0
522718.2
Blue107
598217.2
567538.1
477630.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106846010012014016078107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.4
40.440.0
Auto13.3
Teleop16.0
End10.8
red by 1.9
38.10.6
36.737.2
Auto13.1
Teleop17.6
End7.4
Second
36.90.4
37.336.9
Auto8.0
Teleop19.3
End9.6
red by 6.5
30.50.6
29.029.6
Auto6.0
Teleop15.4
End9.0
Third
5227
#24
18.20.4
18.618.2
Auto7.7
Teleop6.3
End4.2
red by 1.0
5982
#26
17.20.6
15.716.3
Auto6.6
Teleop6.6
End4.0