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Red107
524714.6
600247.5
276744.9
Blue120
571242.3
362041.2
584323.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11110890100120130107120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.50.1
46.346.4
Auto15.3
Teleop24.0
End8.2
red by 5.2
42.30.4
40.440.8
Auto10.4
Teleop22.5
End9.4
Second
44.90.1
43.743.8
Auto13.6
Teleop21.2
End10.1
red by 3.7
41.20.4
39.439.8
Auto14.3
Teleop19.3
End7.7
Third
5247
#37
14.60.1
13.413.5
Auto2.6
Teleop8.9
End3.0
blue by 9.3
5843
#18
23.80.4
22.122.5
Auto8.7
Teleop9.6
End5.6