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Red96
477630.5
567538.1
598217.2
Blue117
553521.5
7434.5
546227.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions849040608010012014096117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.10.4
36.236.5
Auto13.1
Teleop17.6
End7.4
red by 3.7
74
#9
34.50.7
34.335.1
Auto9.6
Teleop17.2
End7.7
Second
30.50.4
28.528.9
Auto6.0
Teleop15.4
End9.0
red by 2.7
5462
#10
27.80.8
27.628.5
Auto9.7
Teleop12.2
End5.9
Third
5982
#26
17.20.4
15.215.6
Auto6.6
Teleop6.6
End4.0
blue by 4.3
5535
#31
21.50.8
21.322.2
Auto7.7
Teleop9.2
End4.6