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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1076420408012014016018010782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.3
39.940.2
Auto13.3
Teleop16.0
End10.8
red by 9.5
4325
#15
30.50.4
29.930.3
Auto6.7
Teleop16.7
End7.2
Second
36.90.3
36.937.1
Auto8.0
Teleop19.3
End9.6
red by 18.2
5610
#14
18.70.4
18.118.5
Auto3.6
Teleop10.7
End4.4
Third
5227
#24
18.20.3
18.118.4
Auto7.7
Teleop6.3
End4.2
blue by 0.1
1940
#12
18.30.4
17.718.0
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End6.2