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Red44
924522.8
520315.5
778413.5
Blue53
553815.6
524818.2
663120.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505902040801004453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9245
#22
22.81.0
18.617.6
Auto8.2
Teleop10.4
End4.0
red by 2.7
6631
#19
20.00.4
16.816.4
Auto3.3
Teleop9.9
End6.9
Second
5203
#34
15.51.0
14.013.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.3
End3.3
blue by 2.7
5248
#26
18.20.6
21.220.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End4.3
Third
7784
#35
13.50.6
15.214.6
Auto2.6
Teleop7.2
End3.7
blue by 2.1
5538
#17
15.60.4
15.815.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.2
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed30%Activation oddsMissed