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Red109
499429.6
716637.9
922731.1
Blue95
550545.7
71094.4
819316.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757030405060809010011010995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.92.3
28.630.9
Auto8.9
Teleop22.1
End6.9
blue by 7.8
45.71.2
38.239.4
Auto13.3
Teleop27.9
End4.4
Second
9227
#12
31.13.8
21.725.5
Auto12.1
Teleop11.4
End7.6
red by 14.8
8193
#38
16.31.2
17.819.1
Auto4.7
Teleop8.7
End3.0
Third
4994
#11
29.62.3
19.421.7
Auto6.9
Teleop15.1
End7.6
red by 25.2
7109
#39
4.42.1
10.512.5
Auto0.2
Teleop3.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsEarned