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Red95
521649.3
838518.6
261928.6
Blue51
364142.8
65338.8
571413.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757350607080901009551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.32.8
33.736.5
Auto12.5
Teleop25.8
End10.9
red by 6.5
3641
#10
42.82.0
38.036.0
Auto10.8
Teleop23.1
End8.9
Second
2619
#16
28.62.8
25.628.4
Auto11.6
Teleop9.7
End7.3
red by 15.0
5714
#30
13.61.2
10.39.1
Auto4.6
Teleop4.7
End4.3
Third
8385
#14
18.61.7
10.812.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.1
End5.5
red by 9.8
6533
#32
8.82.0
20.718.7
Auto3.4
Teleop2.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsEarned35%Activation oddsMissed