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Red126
924522.8
30257.5
607121.3
Blue87
524818.2
819316.3
521649.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1028120406012014016012687

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#1
57.50.5
55.055.5
Auto15.9
Teleop32.4
End9.0
red by 8.2
49.31.0
43.043.9
Auto12.5
Teleop25.8
End10.9
Second
9245
#22
22.80.9
20.721.6
Auto8.2
Teleop10.4
End4.0
red by 4.6
5248
#26
18.21.0
16.917.8
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End4.3
Third
6071
#25
21.30.9
17.318.2
Auto6.1
Teleop9.1
End6.1
red by 5.0
8193
#38
16.30.6
18.619.1
Auto4.7
Teleop8.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsEarned