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Red87
438218.9
400337.5
522420.8
Blue95
851723.5
24541.0
838518.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6279020401001208795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#13
37.53.0
32.235.2
Auto9.9
Teleop19.7
End7.9
blue by 3.5
245
#6
41.01.6
36.838.4
Auto10.7
Teleop22.7
End7.6
Second
5224
#29
20.83.0
17.020.0
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End3.0
blue by 2.7
8517
#28
23.52.6
21.323.9
Auto6.8
Teleop11.9
End4.9
Third
4382
#23
18.93.0
10.813.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End5.0
red by 0.3
8385
#14
18.61.6
13.415.0
Auto4.1
Teleop9.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsMissed