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Red108
554727.7
550545.7
782323.0
Blue81
828628.1
553313.3
521649.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99902040608012014016010881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.71.1
42.343.4
Auto13.3
Teleop27.9
End4.4
blue by 3.6
49.30.4
46.746.4
Auto12.5
Teleop25.8
End10.9
Second
5547
#15
27.71.5
27.028.5
Auto9.2
Teleop11.5
End7.1
blue by 0.4
8286
#21
28.10.4
25.324.9
Auto10.1
Teleop9.6
End8.4
Third
7823
#27
23.01.5
22.123.6
Auto7.6
Teleop10.6
End4.7
red by 9.6
5533
#36
13.30.3
13.212.9
Auto7.3
Teleop2.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsEarned