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Red83
439144.9
364142.8
89432.8
Blue111
716637.9
553815.6
30257.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126109608010012014016018020083111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.92.2
44.141.8
Auto10.7
Teleop25.9
End8.1
blue by 12.6
302
#1
57.50.4
54.755.2
Auto15.9
Teleop32.4
End9.0
Second
3641
#10
42.83.0
41.938.9
Auto10.8
Teleop23.1
End8.9
red by 4.9
37.90.4
34.935.4
Auto8.9
Teleop22.1
End6.9
Third
894
#24
32.82.2
30.428.2
Auto8.5
Teleop20.0
End4.3
red by 17.1
5538
#17
15.60.4
14.815.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.2
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed88%Activation oddsEarned