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Red108
522920.3
364142.8
716637.9
Blue121
24541.0
261928.6
377030.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104107708090100120130140108121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#10
42.80.0
41.941.9
Auto10.8
Teleop23.1
End8.9
red by 1.8
245
#6
41.00.5
41.241.6
Auto10.7
Teleop22.7
End7.6
Second
37.90.0
37.037.0
Auto8.9
Teleop22.1
End6.9
red by 7.9
3770
#18
30.00.5
30.230.6
Auto9.4
Teleop12.9
End7.6
Third
5229
#20
20.30.0
19.419.4
Auto6.0
Teleop7.7
End6.6
blue by 8.3
2619
#16
28.60.5
28.829.2
Auto11.6
Teleop9.7
End7.3