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Red117
828628.1
54836.8
439144.9
Blue129
89432.8
499429.6
922731.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1189050100150117129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.90.2
43.944.1
Auto10.7
Teleop25.9
End8.1
red by 12.1
894
#24
32.80.8
30.831.6
Auto8.5
Teleop20.0
End4.3
Second
548
#2
36.80.2
35.836.1
Auto10.5
Teleop18.5
End7.8
red by 5.7
9227
#12
31.10.8
29.230.0
Auto12.1
Teleop11.4
End7.6
Third
8286
#21
28.10.3
27.027.3
Auto10.1
Teleop9.6
End8.4
blue by 1.5
4994
#11
29.60.8
27.628.4
Auto6.9
Teleop15.1
End7.6