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Red135
521649.3
924522.8
550545.7
Blue64
721141.6
400337.5
663120.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12510540608014016018020013564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.30.3
48.548.8
Auto12.5
Teleop25.8
End10.9
red by 7.7
41.60.8
42.341.5
Auto13.2
Teleop20.8
End7.6
Second
45.70.3
44.945.2
Auto13.3
Teleop27.9
End4.4
red by 8.2
4003
#13
37.50.9
38.337.3
Auto9.9
Teleop19.7
End7.9
Third
9245
#22
22.80.3
22.022.3
Auto8.2
Teleop10.4
End4.0
red by 2.7
6631
#19
20.00.8
20.719.9
Auto3.3
Teleop9.9
End6.9