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Red56
553815.6
782323.0
838518.6
Blue111
716637.9
364142.8
522920.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5311310015056111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7823
#27
23.00.0
23.023.0
Auto7.6
Teleop10.6
End4.7
blue by 19.8
3641
#10
42.80.1
41.941.9
Auto10.8
Teleop23.1
End8.9
Second
8385
#14
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto4.1
Teleop9.1
End5.5
blue by 19.3
37.90.1
37.037.0
Auto8.9
Teleop22.1
End6.9
Third
5538
#17
15.60.0
15.715.6
Auto3.8
Teleop5.2
End6.6
blue by 4.7
5229
#20
20.30.1
19.419.4
Auto6.0
Teleop7.7
End6.6