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Red127
828628.1
54836.8
439144.9
Blue105
721141.6
400337.5
663120.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116104050150200127105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.90.3
44.144.5
Auto10.7
Teleop25.9
End8.1
red by 3.3
41.60.1
41.541.6
Auto13.2
Teleop20.8
End7.6
Second
548
#2
36.80.3
36.136.4
Auto10.5
Teleop18.5
End7.8
blue by 0.7
4003
#13
37.50.2
37.337.5
Auto9.9
Teleop19.7
End7.9
Third
8286
#21
28.10.4
27.327.6
Auto10.1
Teleop9.6
End8.4
red by 8.1
6631
#19
20.00.1
19.920.0
Auto3.3
Teleop9.9
End6.9