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Red90
285135.5
923818.3
923725.2
Blue63
575618.4
889916.4
21750.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70840501001502002509063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2851
#18
35.51.5
30.732.2
Auto10.8
Teleop19.4
End5.4
blue by 15.3
217
#5
50.81.9
43.141.2
Auto11.4
Teleop30.0
End8.8
Second
9237
#25
25.21.5
21.723.2
Auto9.7
Teleop9.3
End6.2
red by 6.9
5756
#28
18.41.9
14.212.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End8.3
Third
9238
#16
18.31.5
15.316.8
Auto5.2
Teleop5.9
End7.2
red by 1.9
8899
#38
16.41.9
19.517.6
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned50%Activation oddsMissed