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Red118
259118.3
485119.7
353866.5
Blue112
553024.5
168452.2
483816.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11174204060100120140160180118112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.50.9
68.269.1
Auto17.7
Teleop38.4
End10.0
red by 14.3
52.22.2
42.845.0
Auto12.0
Teleop30.7
End9.3
Second
4851
#14
19.70.9
18.219.1
Auto6.8
Teleop6.6
End6.4
blue by 4.8
5530
#13
24.52.2
16.318.4
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End5.2
Third
2591
#30
18.30.9
13.414.3
Auto2.9
Teleop8.4
End7.0
red by 1.6
4838
#37
16.72.2
15.217.4
Auto2.9
Teleop5.6
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned