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Red104
923725.2
46945.1
552522.9
Blue134
485119.7
654836.4
21750.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions981086080120140160104134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#8
45.10.4
44.644.9
Auto12.6
Teleop24.1
End8.6
blue by 5.7
217
#5
50.81.3
49.250.5
Auto11.4
Teleop30.0
End8.8
Second
9237
#25
25.20.4
24.725.0
Auto9.7
Teleop9.3
End6.2
blue by 11.2
6548
#10
36.41.3
32.533.8
Auto8.5
Teleop19.9
End8.0
Third
5525
#27
22.90.4
24.324.7
Auto4.4
Teleop12.0
End6.5
red by 3.2
4851
#14
19.71.3
18.519.7
Auto6.8
Teleop6.6
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsMissed