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Red72
118831.8
285135.5
66169.2
Blue89
353440.4
561228.9
923818.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75944060801001201407289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2851
#18
35.50.0
34.734.7
Auto10.8
Teleop19.4
End5.4
blue by 4.9
3534
#11
40.40.2
40.240.5
Auto11.8
Teleop19.9
End8.8
Second
1188
#12
31.80.0
31.131.1
Auto9.0
Teleop13.9
End8.9
red by 2.9
5612
#20
28.90.2
27.527.7
Auto5.0
Teleop14.7
End9.2
Third
6616
#26
9.20.0
6.76.7
Auto2.8
Teleop2.9
End3.5
blue by 9.1
9238
#16
18.30.2
18.018.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.9
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
68%Activation oddsMissed87%Activation oddsMissed