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Red103
233761.9
259118.3
553024.5
Blue67
505331.3
920313.5
438428.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1227205010015010367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.90.3
64.363.9
Auto15.1
Teleop38.8
End7.9
red by 30.6
5053
#23
31.30.8
31.130.3
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End6.4
Second
5530
#13
24.50.3
25.224.8
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End5.2
blue by 4.3
4384
#33
28.80.8
28.227.4
Auto5.5
Teleop17.0
End6.4
Third
2591
#30
18.30.3
18.618.3
Auto2.9
Teleop8.4
End7.0
red by 4.7
9203
#34
13.50.8
14.313.5
Auto1.9
Teleop8.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
49%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsMissed32%Activation oddsMissed