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Red149
46945.1
21750.8
553024.5
Blue82
118831.8
561228.9
575618.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136745010015020014982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#5
50.81.2
50.551.6
Auto11.4
Teleop30.0
End8.8
red by 19.0
1188
#12
31.80.3
31.131.4
Auto9.0
Teleop13.9
End8.9
Second
469
#8
45.11.2
44.946.1
Auto12.6
Teleop24.1
End8.6
red by 16.3
5612
#20
28.90.3
27.728.0
Auto5.0
Teleop14.7
End9.2
Third
5530
#13
24.51.2
24.025.2
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End5.2
red by 6.2
5756
#28
18.40.3
18.018.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
36%Sustainability oddsEarned18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned