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Red71
785611.4
920313.5
566043.4
Blue100
168452.2
923818.3
66169.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions748120406010012014071100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.40.1
42.442.4
Auto9.9
Teleop27.0
End6.6
blue by 8.8
52.21.3
50.451.7
Auto12.0
Teleop30.7
End9.3
Second
9203
#34
13.50.1
14.214.3
Auto1.9
Teleop8.0
End3.6
blue by 4.7
9238
#16
18.31.3
16.918.3
Auto5.2
Teleop5.9
End7.2
Third
7856
#36
11.40.1
13.313.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End5.0
red by 2.2
6616
#26
9.21.3
7.89.2
Auto2.8
Teleop2.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed26%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed63%Activation oddsEarned